meltdown101

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Political Philosophy
Humanist I suppose. Would like to see everyone getting a fair shake
Name
Andrew Hughes
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Politics, economics, current affairs, geopolitics

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http://meltdown101.livejournal.com/

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Meltdown101 Following the Plays

Way Past Time to Wake Up.

There has been a Game Afoot for a long long time. It took me a while to wake up to what was really happening but Truth, though ugly at times, is always preferable to Ignorance.

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Fractional Banking System

meltdown101

Fractional Banking System

"A banking system in which only a fraction of bank deposits are backed by actual cash-on-hand and are available for withdrawal. This is done to expand the economy by freeing up capital that can be loaned out to other parties. Most countries operate under this type of system."

Bank Run

"A situation in which numerous bank customers try to withdraw their bank deposits simultaneously and the bank's reserves are not sufficient to cover the withdrawals. Bank runs are a result of panic"

To say the markets and the Economy at large is in a state of panic would be a huge understatement at best. The LIBOR or the rate at which banks lend to each other on overnight and longer term loans has increased as distrust has spread within the Financial sector. Banks are basically afraid to lend to each other and thus increases liquidity problems for the everyone. Banks are hoarding cash and not lending to each other or consumers. This is having a serious consequence for Economies where cash flow grinds to a halt and tips many businesses over the edge as financing is no longer available. The resultant set of dominos falling are increased layoffs, further share price deterioration, devaluation of the stock market,reduced tax base and an increased welfare bill for Government. Are you starting to panic yet ? Feel like withdrawing your savings and stashing them under your bed ?

So we have a situation right now where Governments are running to Guarantee Bank deposits.. Ireland said it would guarantee them up to a value of 400 Billion Euros, I began to wonder..Well Brian, where are you going to find a sum like this in Eire ? Has he seen the pot of gold over the rainbow or has he totally lost his faculties ?

Let's take Ireland as an example as it's my Birthplace, to see what kind of numbers we are talking about..

2008 Total estimated Tax revenue for 2008: 48.9 Billion Euros

2008 Total estimated non Tax revenue for 2008: 684 Million

2008 Total estimated Revenue: 49.594 Billion Euros

2008 Irish Exchequer Balance: -4.8 Billion Euros

So Brian, where does the 400 Billion come from ? The country already has a net negative balance of 4.8 billion euros.
This is Deposit guarantee scheme in Microcosm and the same situation can be said for other countries as well. The announcement is meant to "Shore up confidence" in the banking system. Sorry the banking system got themselves and the rest of us IN this mess because of highly imaginative accounting practices and the above seems from the same mold to me.

The reality of the situation is that Investors ARE panicking right now. The UK branch of the Icelandic bank Landsbanki, Icesave, an Internet based subsidiary, had to freeze withdrawals from customers on Tuesday. From a fractional banking standpoint, this chicken came home to roost with a reality check. There will be many more of these instances as this drama unfolds which has already claimed so many victims.

Another shoe on the way down..
Adjustable rate mortgages are being reset very soon which will see millions of homeowners around the world who are on the brink of going broke actually go broke and default on their mortgages. Another addition to the housing inventory and another addition to the Food Stamp Q and unemploymets line, all of which means less money and more government debt.

There comes a time when , even Politicians and stockbrokers have to face the music. Money does not grow on trees, it requires people who have jobs, pay taxes, buy houses, groceries, cars etc etc.. Once you take the rug out from under a functioning economy it just keels over ..how hard we wait and see.

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meltdown101

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Paulson goes for Broke.

meltdown101

Paulson's upcoming purchase of Equity Shares in the last major banks standing in the financial OK Corral has convinced me once and for all that what we are looking at here is either idiocy on a monumental scale or the execution of an already established game plan.

The purchase involves NON VOTING shares ! So after already giving away $2.3 trillion of US taxpayers' money to Insurance, Banking and Automotive interests with no strings attached, Paulson then avoids the last opportunity to leverage some demands from the Financial Industry who, through their already well established chicanery, have brought the World to it's knees.

The one thing that, besides paralytic shock, this event behooves of us is some critical thinking about WHAT'S REALLY GOING ON HERE ALREADY !!!!

If anyone truly believes that what is unfolding and has been unfolding for the last 10 years is just a free market which didn't anticipate the results of it's greed, then you truly need some time out to reflect a little. Once Alan Greenspan unleashed the debt bubble by lowering interest rates and encouraging everyone to feast on what they could not afford by using credit cards and mortgage equity, then the beast had truly been unleashed and we all fell for it , let's admit it. It seemed really good to get that Car you really liked or that house you really liked without having to have saved anything up at all; Yep, just swipe that little thingie and all will be just fine ! The trap had been set and Bernanke took over the mantle with flying colors and lowered interest rates again as the economy started to falter. The attitude here was that, in a free market environment, you can always spend your way out of a bad situation. This is the kernel of the nuts we have been fed in recent times.

With an ever yawning trade deficit, current account balance, foreign debt ( to a level that it is mathematically impossible to ever pay it back) a manufacturing economy replaced with one where citizens serve each other coffee and burgers and call it an economy, the situation rapidly goes from bad to worse and the eventual bill after we stop gorging ourselves will necessitate rather a lot of dish washing for several millenia.

The truth of this can be seen by looking at any graph on Prudentbear.com ; The M3 money supply, (over 1 year ago, the government STOPPED publishing this figure), the Current account deficit, the Trade Deficit, The rising outstanding household and commercial debt, the rise of the percentage of unemployed, the unemployment figures themselves, the huge drop in the licenses sought for new home construction, the rise in the number of citizens applying for emergency state aid, the huge rise in the number of American families now under the Poverty line, the Huge rise in Food Kitchen queues etc etc..

Now, there have been numerous economists and journalists who have stood up during this bubble and said, Hold up, there's a problem here ! They had seen that the game had been rigged and were shot down for even mentioning that the Free Market Planet just might not be flat. Galileo would know how they were to feel.

One example..

United States Congressional Record - March 17, 1993 - Vol. #33, page H-1303 - Speaker- Rep. James Traficant, Jr. (Ohio) addressing the House:

"Mr. Speaker, we are here now in chapter 11. Members of Congress are official trustees presiding over the greatest reorganization of any Bankrupt entity in world history, the U.S. Government. We are setting forth hopefully, a blueprint for our future. There are some who say it is a coroner's report that will lead to our demise."

Of course we all know that Traficant wasn't around for much longer after that gaffe. Educated observers have known for 2 decades where US monetary and economic policy were leading and finally the manure hit the ventilator. This all begs the question..Is the result we see today the desired outcome ? Well let's look at it from another angle. Governement and Finance are bolted together at the hip as anyone who looks at the careers of the Executive and legislative branches would know. Regulatory commissions for Wall St bankers are stacked with Wall St bankers, pharmaceutical advisory boards are stuffed with Big Pharma reps. The lobbying industry - yes blatant vote selling for profit is actually a legal activity - has driven US government decisions from starting wars to supervising financiers all in the "interest" of the public.

So if we know that Government is fundamentally corrupt beyond belief, then may we not assume that they do not have our interests at heart but those of their employers ie whoever pays them, through lobbying, to vote a certain way on upcoming legislation or vote to repeal existing legislation like those old thingies, what were they called, Oh Yeah Habeus Corpus and the 1st, 2nd, and 4th amendments of the US constitution. Fortunately for Congress they did not have to embarass themselves too much as the executive branch just assumed the power by executive order or "signing statements".

However, you can see what's at work here. The concentration of arbitrary power has been gradually assumed since 200 , the Patriot Act being the first act of treason. The Congress members who were to vote on it were given 5 mins to read over 300 pages of legislation. The sunset clause when it came up for enactment was met with Patriot Act 2 ! Alberto Gonzales, as Bush's AG, brought legal interpretation to dizzying heights when he declared that the Geneva Convention does not legally apply to captives in the bogus "War on Terror" more accurately called "The War on Freedom" Bush also got the buy in from Gonzales that spying on American citizens was perfectly constitutional as we are in a state of "War". The continuity of Government ststus has not been repealed after it's creation in 2001. This COG is just another term for martial Law with no involvement of the legislative branch.

This all follows a pattern of increasing concentration of ultimate power in very few hands, and, conspicuous by it's absense, not in those of the US Population. Recently we had the Bailout Bill..signed in to law by the House of Representatives only after they were threathened that Martial Law would be imposed unless they signed on the dotted line.

The net result firstly of the Legislative Power Grab is now that under LAW, The US President now has the power to declare martial law in the case of a dramatic emergency whether it be financial, terrorist etc but this definition will be interpreted by the President alone and Congress will just have to sit and take it. (See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Posse_Comitatus_Act ). We also have the deployment of US Infantry on American civilian neighbourhoods

The net result of the past 2 decades of deliberate destruction of the US manufacturing base (which was the actual real world engine of the US economy), the devaluing of the Dollar by the Federal Banking system, the accumulation of foreign debt that is totally impossible to ever pay back, and the wholesale transfer of US citizens' wealth to the Banking fraternity courtesy of the "Bailout" bill and now the purchase of non voting equity in those same financial entities has now left us with an "Emergency".

All the pieces are in place. The election is not far away and while the public have had their eye off the ball and lapping up every dumb reaction by Wall St marketeers , defying basic economic understanding, the Boys in the Back room are seeing the results of years of effort. They now can abolish the rule of law completely in a society that is more than halfway to becoming 100% dependant on their "Government" for survival. The imposition of Martial law, already on the public Legislative record, is, in my view, the goal that they have been working towards. And all for one reason and one reason only ...Power. Any cursory glance at the past 5000 years of human history illustrates that the evolution of society always leads to an Oligarchy, excessive power, and is always followed by eventual self destruction.

So we need to look beyond the headlines and see what is really happening behind the scenes. Switch off your TV, stop buying newspapers and research your news sources..there are plenty of them out there where you will receive more than sound bites and feelgood "Journalism". The Players have played the game extremely well to achieve their ends; it is defintely time to realise that their game plan never had anything to do with OUR well being.

It's The Economy Stuipid !

meltdown101

BBC News this morning..

Takashi Ushio, head of the investment strategy division at Marusan Securities, was quoted as saying by Reuters news agency.

"Last week people were panicking over the financial system, nobody really knew what would happen. But now it's the real economy."

Yutaka Miura, senior strategist at Shinko Securities Co Ltd, said investors were particularly unnerved by a 1.2% fall in the value of US retail sales between August and September.

"It really confirmed a severe slowdown in the US economy," he told The Associated Press news agency.

If either of these guys needed confirmation that the US was in recession, then they should both be promptly fired and forbidden to manage anyone elses money for the rest of their life. If this is indicative of the abject stupidity that pervades the Investment community, then God Help us all .


My WRH Articles

Jan 05 07:36

List of Companies that support Israel - Boycott them

The boycott of Israeli products and companies supporting the zionist entity is about ordinary people around the world using their right to choose what they buy in order to help bring about an end to oppression in Palestine. Its a peaceful means of putting international pressure on the racist state of Israel and follows in the footsteps of the successful boycott against South African racist apartheid.

Jan 04 09:39

Obama's statement on the Crisis in Palestine

It's no small wonder that President Elect Barack Obama is keeping silent on the current round of wanton slaughter and destruction in Palestine. After all He had already made his position crystal clear when he addressed the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, otherwise known as "The Israeli Lobby", on June 4th of last year. There had been doubts amongst a portion of Jewish voters as to his fealty to Israel but in his opening statement he put those fears to rest.

Jan 02 07:59

Israel’s War Crimes and Change we can believe in

Once again, Israel is in the midst of murder and wanton destruction in Palestine. Gaza, after being starved of food, shelter, medical supplies and electricity, is again the stage for mass murder, the likes of which would normally elicit cries of protest the world over. However, the warped zeitgeist that currently pollutes reactions to Israeli violence has only led to the usual commentaries of moral equivalence.

Jan 02 07:57

Transcript: Obama's Speech at AIPAC....Maybe this is why Obama has been silent on the Gaza Genocide

Illinois Sen. Barack Obama delivered a speech on Wednesday, June 4, before the American Israel Public Affairs Committee. The speech comes the day after he secured enough delegates to clinch the Democratic nomination and become the first African-American candidate for president.

Dec 20 07:39

Wall St. sets the stage for the next Big Heist

One could not help but notice the constant emphasis, during and since the Obama campaign, on Climate Change and Green energy programs. The world has a real need to develop more oil independent energy sources and halt the wholesale rape of Mother Earth. However, hearing these pleas from Washington to London from the highest offices in the land only demand more thorough investigation

Dec 19 11:05

Bush leaves GM on life support for Obama

Today's announcement of a $17.4 Billion loan to GM and Chrysler marks another milestone on the road to nowhere currently being followed by the current administration. Under the terms of the loan, "If the firms have not attained viability by March 31, 2009, the loan will be called and all funds returned to the Treasury," Meanwhile,another caveat to the deal is that workers' wages will have to be reduced to make them as competitive as those in Japan and Korea. Oh and the corporate jet has to go as well. This passes for a plan these days. Who are they trying to kid ?

Dec 17 09:55

China; Review the old and deducing the new makes a teacher

The remedies proposed by Governments the world over are not working as every real economic indicator confirms. The eternal corrupting influence of Money on Government policies and planning have all but guaranteed that whatever methods are employed to redeem the economy from the whale’s mouth, they will be like drops of rain meeting a river. The one overwhelming factor that does not seem to be factored in to the equation is that to get oneself out of a financial mess one needs financial resources. Not the borrowed kind but the saved kind. This is where China holds an Ace.

Dec 15 13:04

The Reconstruction of America

As 2008 comes to an end after a brain curdling descent in to an economic abyss, what is on the to-do list for 2009? Will the same mistakes that were made to try and ease the impact of the crisis be repeated in 2008? All indications are that addressing the root problems is still not on the agenda and the predilection for Keynesian stimuli will only exacerbate the fallout from a fundamentally unwinnable war. Unwinnable in the sense that the definition of victory is the restoration of a failed Economic model.

Dec 15 12:54

The Reconstruction of America

As 2008 comes to an end after a brain curdling descent in to an economic abyss, what is on the to-do list for 2009? Will the same mistakes that were made to try and ease the impact of the crisis be repeated in 2008? All indications are that addressing the root problems is still not on the agenda and the predilection for Keynesian stimuli will only exacerbate the fallout from a fundamentally unwinnable war. Unwinnable in the sense that the definition of victory is the restoration of a failed Economic model.

Dec 11 07:54

JuD chief Saeed says willing to face charges of terrorism

"If there is any evidence against Jamaat-ud-Dawa with India or America, it can be presented in any court. We are ready to defend ourselves in court," Saeed told a news conference in Lahore.

Dec 11 07:52

The Economic Policies of Failure

In a sense, Clinton laid the framework for this crisis. First off, Clinton and Robert Rubin rewrote the rules governing the Community Reinvestment Act. In doing so, they applied all sorts of political pressure on institutions to lend to people who weren't credit worthy. Again, this is the Liberal economic way. It's the something for nothing scam and it doesn't work.

Dec 11 07:48

Time to redefine the Economic Paradigm

Lack of regulation and the quest for short term profit at the expense of long term sustainability has brought the World to it's knees. A new paradigm is desperately needed to restore sanity to a world gone mad. As we travel the downside we cannot expect the same failed mechanisms to save us.

Dec 09 08:51

Obama Standing at a Fork in the Road: Will He Choose Wisely?

Now is the time that the U.S. must start SAVING money instead of spending even more of what it does not have. By sending another 20,000 troops to an already destroyed Afghanistan to pound it even more, maintain the troop presence in Iraq and continue to head towards a confrontation with Iran, Russia, China and Pakistan, he will be wasting hundreds of billions of dollars that could be better spent at home on the people who really need it.

Dec 09 08:48

U.S. Dollar: The Next Bubble to Pop

I am sure everyone out there who follows the financial crisis has noted or read about the flocking of the masses to the dubious "security" of US Treasury and Agency government debt.

Dec 05 07:05

The Biggest Bubble of All: Long-term Treasuries?

I’m talking about long-term Treasuries — 10-year notes and 30-year bonds. They’re subject to all kinds of long-term risks — currency risk for foreign debt holders … inflation risk for domestic and foreign investors … and, if you believe the credit default swap market, even a wee bit of CREDIT risk.

Dec 05 07:04

Obama's War Cabinet

December 1 brought more disappointment but no surprises. Obama's national security appointees (like all his earlier ones) aren't "change to believe in" or what people expected for their votes. They're recycled establishment figures. Their agenda is business as usual, and they'll continue the same failed Bush administration policies at home and abroad. Washington's criminal class is bipartisan. Obama was chosen to lead it and is assembling a rogue team that's little different from the one it's replacing.

Dec 04 10:25

New Securities Exchange Commission regulations fail miserably to address the real issues

Yesterday, the long awaited regulatory framework to rein in the Financial sector was announced. Not surprisingly, it did not address the most important issues hovering over the Economy and serves only to reinforce the hands off management style that has always been the trademark of this supposed Gatekeeper of Financial Sanity.

Dec 04 07:29

Paulson Considers New Plan to Resuscitate U.S. Housing Market

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is considering a new plan to reduce mortgage rates in another bid to revive the U.S. housing market, a government official said.

Dec 04 07:26

GM, Chrysler May Accept Bankruptcy to Receive Bailout

General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC executives are considering accepting a pre-arranged bankruptcy as the last-resort price of getting a multibillion-dollar government bailout, said a person familiar with their internal discussions.

Dec 04 07:24

Paulson shoots another arrow into the heart of the Economy

The announcement today of a deal reached between the U.S. Treasury and the moribund insurance giant, A.I.G. provides a very lucid insight in to the nefarious and destructive world of the Troubled Asset Relief Program, otherwise known as T.A.R.P..Not only have A.I.G. received $152 billion to date and subsequently reported a third quarter loss of $25 billion, now they are to be cleared of their obligation on $53 billion worth of toxic credit default swaps. U.S. taxpayers are now on the hook for $205 billion..