The president of Afghanistan, Hamid Karzai, has cast doubt over Nato’s planned summer offensive against the Taliban in the southern province of Kandahar, as more than 10,000 American troops pour in for the fight.
Karzai threatened to delay or even cancel the operation — one of the biggest of the nine-year war — after being confronted in Kandahar by elders who said it would bring strife, not security, to his home province.
How Karzai intends to delay or cancel the operation is a really good question, but the fact that he even made that statement is a very clear indication that Karzai has perhaps had a moment of clarity about the long-term effects of the US/NATO occupation.
This was is, and has always been, unwinnable militarily, 9 horrendously bloody years on.
At the end of the day, the US and NATO will, at some point, have to declare victory, and come home; the only other alternative is killing every Afghan man, woman, and child left standing.
That potential early exit of US and NATO troops may very well have to be before the pipelines can be installed with which to control Eurasian oil.
This scenario has the US and NATO panicked, because this was one of the two outcomes which were to have been accomplished during the occupation (the other being the control of the drug trade, from which so many profit so handsomely).
If Karzai has gotten it into his head that foreign troops must leave sooner rather than later (unless he gets "neutralized" by the West, which is a very definite possibility at this point), he will do that to achieve the best reconciliation possible with all factions of Afghan society, including the Taliban.
At that point, the US is going to have to negotiate with whatever government is left standing for the rights to the pipelines, just as George W. Bush was doing with the Taliban as late as August of 2001.
That administration thought that the price demanded by the Taliban was "too high". Then, we had 9/11, followed by the invasion and occupation of this country, which has left the actual installation of those pipelines no closer to reality than it was in August of 2001.