Miami polling firm Bendixen & Associates did a huge exit poll during the first 9 days of early voting in Miami-Dade– almost 87-hundred interviews at 18 of the 20 early voting sites. The demographics of those interviewed– 55% hispanic, 25% Anglos, 20% black– sound roughly like the county’s electorate.
Bottom-line result– Obama 61%, McCain 39%.
It should be noted that Sergio Bendixen’s firm has done work for the Obama campaign (though this poll was done for a Political Science class at UM, taught by Bendixen’s friend and former State Rep Mike Abrams). Remember also that the Obamites have put major effort into early-vote turnout, while Republicans have largely concentrated on absentee ballots.
Still, 61% is impressive. John Kerry took Miami-Dade with only 52% of the vote four years ago.